Nvidia Stock Is Down Nearly 20% YTD: What's Going On?

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NVIDIA Corp NVDA shares have fallen 19.6% year to date, pressured by ongoing concerns about AI spending, trade restrictions and broader market weakness. The stock, which was one of the best-performing names in 2024, has struggled in 2025 as investors reassess growth expectations and adjust to an increasingly uncertain economic environment.

What To Know: Restrictions on chip exports to China remain a major headwind for Nvidia, raising concerns about the company’s ability to maintain its strong revenue growth. The company relies on China as a key market for its AI chips and any disruption in sales could have a material impact. Recent reports indicate that China is ramping up efforts to reduce its dependence on U.S. technology, which could further hurt Nvidia’s long-term positioning.

AI spending, which drove Nvidia's massive stock surge last year, is now under increased scrutiny. Some analysts are warning that corporations could slow their AI infrastructure investments in response to economic uncertainty.

Q1 Earnings: Nvidia's latest earnings report helped accelerate the downside momentum in shares. Revenue jumped 78% year-over-year and earnings per share climbed 71%. The company guided for first-quarter revenue of $43 billion, significantly higher than the $26.04 billion reported in the same quarter last year. Despite these numbers, the stock has continued to decline as investors focus more on macroeconomic risks and shifting sentiment around AI-related spending.

Market Overview: The broader semiconductor sector is also facing challenges. Advanced Micro Devices Inc. AMD is down 14.9% year-to-date, Broadcom Inc. AVGO has fallen 28% and Marvell Technology Inc. MRVL is down 44.5%. Nvidia's premium valuation has become less of a talking point as market conditions shift. The stock currently trades with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 24.5, which remains above some of its peers, but is down significantly from the peak.

U.S. President Donald Trump is set to announce reciprocal tariffs on several countries at 4 p.m. ET. The Trump administration has said the tariffs could target specific sectors.

NVDA Price Action: Nvidia shares were down 0.52% at $109.57 at the time of publication Wednesday, according to Benzinga Pro.

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Photo: Shutterstock.

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